Post
by Zack » 04 Mar 2025, 23:11
Dear old Horus, you need some class on how diplomacy works dear lad if what you assert is indeed the case, then your argument appears to be one of speculation, particularly in relation to the Red Sea maritime region that, as things currently stand, bears no tangible connection to your country. However, it is clear dear lad that the negotiations orchestrated by the Turks who have their own interests were not merely an avenue for your Galla Prime Minister to salvage his reputation, for the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with Somaliland was never truly intended for implementation on theor part indeed.
Somalia’s adept diplomatic manoeuvring forced Ethiopia to acknowledge and uphold Somalia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Somali republic. This was demonstrated when, after initial resistance from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia ultimately complied with demands to remove Somaliland’s designation from Ethiopian Airlines’ platform. This concession led to a significant loss of support from the Somaliland public, who perceived it as a betrayal and that is the first betrayal . The second one was when the SL delegation in diredawa were not allowed to speak and only Somali goverment were the only delegation to speak on inaguaration of a Somali elder in Diredawa few months ago.
Furthermore, by signing the Ankara Agreement, Ethiopia effectively nullified the Somaliland MoU, as it formally committed to respecting the territorial integrity of Somalia. In light of this, it is rather inconsistent to suggest that Ethiopia might revisit the Somaliland agreement in the future. If that were the case, what purpose did the talks with Somalia and Turkey serve? If Ethiopia claims to be engaged in a struggle against Egypt within Somalia, only to revert to the original MoU once the dispute subsides, what would prevent Somalia from expelling Ethiopia entirely and reinstating Egypt’s influence instead just an idea?
The Somali government, as the legitimate authority over Somalia, retains the prerogative to determine its partnerships. Should Somalia decide to sever ties with Ethiopia’s peacekeeping forces, Ethiopia would have no recourse, as the international community is unlikely to alienate Mogadishu. In such a scenario, it is conceivable that the Somali government and Al-Shabaab militants could find themselves on the same side an outcome that neither the West nor the broader international community would really want .
Ethiopia's position is precarious, with limited strategic options. There was, at one point, a golden opportunity to push forward with the MoU an Ethiopian endorsement of Somaliland’s independence, coupled with the establishment of Ethiopian naval forces along Somaliland’s northern coastline, would have secured President Muse Biixi’s political resurgence. However, Ethiopia faltered under mounting pressure, and ultimately, this opportunity slipped away fortunately so, for us Somali nationalists But from Somaliland’s perspective they would have loved to go ahead with the deal at leasts the Somaliland leadership the public were a bit divided to be honest on this how ever now things have totally changed .
With a new government now in power in Somaliland, the dynamics have shifted considerably. Unlike its predecessor, the current administration does not appear to prioritise international recognition in exchange for a maritime outlet. Consequently, entertaining such discussions now would be a formidable challenge. Ethiopia has already exhausted this bargaining chip in its negotiations with Somalia, and Somalilanders are unlikely to allow themselves to be used as a mere pawn in Ethiopia’s diplomatic manoeuvring once again. The reality is that Ethiopia, by virtue of its own actions, has all but abandoned the MoU. The moment the Ankara Agreement was brought into effect, the Somaliland deal was, for all intents and purposes, rendered null and void.
Dr Zackovich
