Fano has been making news for military achievement and some good samaritan work except in the past one or two weeks until the Eskinder news surfaced. The stake and the expectation on Fano by the Amhara oppressed majority and citizen based Ethiopians to some extent was high. Many felt they are a fair and just substitute to current ethnofascist OPDO/TPLF/OLF/PP/Shene political industrial complex. It may be true not to demand or expect too much from the regional group as by any standard they are in too infantile stage of formation-just came to view within a year or so. They have to accrue experience.
There are some risk assessment question remain to be asked though :-
1. Is there regional power skirmish such as which region should lead? Eg. shewa vs gojam vs gonder vs wollo? Is this delaying their unification?
2. An historical trap: for example shewa solomon dynasty Amhara vs Teodros of Gonder vs Belay zeleke vs who ruled more vs whose turn is now?
3. Funder influence from the diaspora or others? what is the motive of each funder and why are they fragmented instead of coming together to support a one Fano movement? Are there still supporters of the old king system driving wedge with their stolen wealth(low suspicion but a suspicion?)?
4. Individual karma for power hunger, money and name: why does eskender and zemene want to be number one? Any one who should be a rep of fano should be unanimously elected by all fano not bs that individual wanted to be number one. There was a smudge on Eskender like Lidetu and Birhanu Nega to provide a leadership role any questions raised on him and his minion should be legitimate. It is known Zemene plays a big role there but he is a deserter of ex-ginbot 7 and nothing is known about his education level and political understanding to make a leader. However it is suspected he has a hugue unifying and military role especially in Gojam deserving respect. The question is how does this affect fano unity and progress?
5. Ethiopianist vs Amhara ethnic-nationalist conundrum and hate politics. Does Fano want to secede Amhara vs build a democratic citizen based society with some ethnic breathing space vs a dictatorial regime paralleling PP/TPLF with Amhara hegemony? There appears at least on media there exist Amhara group that feels the ethiopianist agenda fed to victimization of Amhara. They may well have a fano team they fund further complicating the complex issue.
6. Risk of permanent regional fragmentation of the country. This is actually the status quo by now. PP leader as all knows behaves as deputy mayor of the capital. Shimelis and Abebech appear to be the defacto leaders of the Oromo/oromuma kidnapping, demolishing robbing business awing the nation. They believe they develop and lead free Oromia and the other region is not their headache. Oromia/wollega not at peace. Tigray risks fragmentation, amhara at risk etc.
What are the hopes:-
- if remains elected Eskender proves his critics wrong by delivering
-The generals recently added to fano provide leadership guidance and deliver on Fano unity and progress
-The diaspora cooperates through consultation meetings and strike unity
-Fano cede individual ego for unity and progress
-Ethiopianist vs amhara nationalist infight hammered out
Is this a turning point? To be seen
Solely an opinion