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Horus
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GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Horus » 08 Feb 2024, 02:05


Horus
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Posts: 42517
Joined: 19 Oct 2013, 19:34

Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Horus » 08 Feb 2024, 02:39

This short introduction to Game Theory makes it clear that in today's HoA, the only 2 rational players are Somaliland Republic and Ethiopia.

Now consider each of the other players .....

Djibouti is trying to punish Ethiopian merchants by using Dominant player, rather than find a Nash Equilibrium ..... Duhhh

Somalia with no country of its own is trying to play Dominant player using the Sovereignty fiction rather than finding a Nash Equilibrium.

Eritrea is trying to stop Ethiopia from securing its sea access interest rather than advancing its own self-interest by marketing its idle ports (rather than seeking a Nash equilibrium)

Egypt another proverbial stupid entity tries to stop Ethiopia from securing its need for sea access rather than negotiate a Nash equilibrium on GERD game.

This is how stupidity and ignorance rules and ruins the Horn of Africa!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bFs6ZiynSU
Last edited by Horus on 08 Feb 2024, 03:06, edited 1 time in total.

Horus
Senior Member+
Posts: 42517
Joined: 19 Oct 2013, 19:34

Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Horus » 08 Feb 2024, 02:59

So, again listen to this with Abiy Ahmed's wars in mind? የትግሬን ጦርነት በ2 ሳምንት እንጨርሳለን! የአማራን ጦርነት በ6 ሳምንት ፣ በ6 ወር !! ምን ያክል ደደቦች እንደ ሆኑ ያቢይ ጄኔራሎች ጉግል አድርገው ማንበብ የማይችሉ ናቸው


Wordpad
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Joined: 07 Mar 2013, 10:52

Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Wordpad » 08 Feb 2024, 04:35

Galla :lol:

sesame
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Joined: 28 Feb 2013, 17:55

Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by sesame » 08 Feb 2024, 07:02

Horus,

It is desperation that is making you look everywhere to justify Abiy Ahmed's moronic attempts to divert his people's attention from their dire situation to fantasies about salty waters! Ethiopians are in a zero-sum game against each other. Unless rational people get rid of the PP clowns, Ethiopia will splinter into dozens of pieces, and the Gurages will be swallowed and reduced to zero.
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Abere
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Posts: 15333
Joined: 18 Jul 2019, 20:52

Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Abere » 08 Feb 2024, 12:36

Horus,

I was expecting this generation would be a lot smarter than either the Derg era or the TPLF era in thinking outside of the box. Disappointingly, there is still too much stupidity among the youth generation. In stead of promoting economic integration, mutual respect, solidarity and prevent cyclical destructive wars, several disoriented souls are parroting about advancing colonial agenda. As we know colonial treaties, landmarks and legacies are anti-development and do not align with the future needs of the ever changing world. Colonial legacies are chains handcuffing the colonized countries themselves. For instance, what did Eritrea benefit from the last 33 years after Ethiopia gave her ports? Nothing, did not get any benefit. So, did Somalia. Nothing. Somalia rather became an Al Shaba land where Al Shabab aspires an Islamist terrorist country for all terrorists around the world. :mrgreen:

Anything that defies logic sooner or later surely fails. These overdosed generation many of them paid trolls for the wrong agenda do not listen to the reality. Sadly, many more millions will die in a useless war.

Horus
Senior Member+
Posts: 42517
Joined: 19 Oct 2013, 19:34

Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Horus » 08 Feb 2024, 14:54

አበረ፣
የአፍሪካ ቀንድ ተገንጣይ ንኡስ ከበርቴ በብዙ ልዩ ልዩ የሳይኮሎጂ በሽታ ውስጥ እንዳለ ታውቃለህ ። የገለጽከው የቀጠናው ተገንጣዮች እና ጸረ ኢትዮጵያዎች ባህሪ ሁለት መሰረታዊ መነሾ አለው ። አንድ አላማ ቢስነት (purposelessness) ነው ። አንዳቸውም ኢትዮጵያን ከመጥላት የዘለለ የራሳቸው ይህ ነው የሚባል ፋይዳ የላቸው ። ልክ እንዳልከው የሕልውናቸው አላማ አድርገው የያዙት ኢትዮጵያን ማፍረስ እንጂ ለራሳቸው የሚገነቡት ፋይዳ የላቸውም። ይህ አንዱ በሽታቸው ነው ።

ሁለተኛው ሳይክሎጂያዊ በሽታ ነው፤ እሱም ጀርመኖች Schadenfreude (ሻደንፍሮይደ) ይሉታል ። ይህ ያይምሮ በሽታ በሌሎች ሰዎች ውድቀት ደስታን የሚያገኙ፣ የሌሎች ችግርና መከራ የነሱ ደስታ ምንጭ የሚያደርጉ ያይምሮ ሕሙማን ናችው ። እኛ ቅናትና ምቀኘንት የምንለው በሌሎች ደስታ የሚቆጩና የሚያዝኑ ሰዎችን ነው ። እነዚህ ሻደንፍሮይደ የተባሉት በአማርኛ ወይም ግዕዝ ምን እንደ ሚባሉ አላውቀውም ። ከላይ የገለጽካቸው ሰዎች ናቸው ። ችግራቸው ትክክለኛ ምርጫ የማደግና ትክክለኛ ውሳኔ የመድረስ (ጌም ቲኦሪ) ብቻ አይደለም፤ የሻደንፍሮይደ በሽተኞች ናቸው ።

Hazega/Tsazega.
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Re: GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Post by Hazega/Tsazega. » 10 Feb 2024, 02:48

(Ps, i had this written 2 days ago but just didnt get chance to post...already seeing you Abiy minions backtracking from your initial positions...and months ago i thought Abere/Horus were intentionally trying to egg/walk Abiy/PeePee into conflict :mrgreen: but seeing they are equal opportunists as Abiy).


Miss Calculation (aka Horesh, Aberesh, DefendTheTota),

Its interesting to see neighbors raised on food aid from world/UN/USaids for last 50+years (1/2 century) as well as multiBillion dollar development aid/loans and equal military arms/funding by neo-colonizers...speak with their mouths full of tebetanyaa & boastingly talking down to their neighbors or about the colonial experience of their neighbors.  Some how the neo-colonizer food aid made you forget how to work for your own bread using your own resources/land instead of being a beggar telalakee that carries out wars on the region on behalf of your donors...even now you are hoping to find a sponsor for your naval aspirations & irrationally accusing/swinging at all neighbors.

Also WTF...you Abiy minions keep interjecting Eritrea(ns) name in your A & B conversation that Eritrea has C (Sea-n) itself out of early on when your Monkey King Abiy started the sea/water distraction 4 months ago.  Back then Eritrea gave you a small 1 paragraph response to your provocations and chose not to engage in your shenanigans. 

However in the 4months since, Abiy and your state medias and social media minions have produced thousands of posts, videos, meetings and tebetanyaa boasts/threats and conspiracy theory enemies...and for whatever reason, you have been crying Eritrea's name more than Somaliland??  Focus on you and Somaliland and stop interjecting others or making excuses to blame others.  As many told you from the get go (including myself), start by recognizing Somaliland "first/unilaterally" instead of being telalakee scaredy cats looking for other superpowers to bail you out of fiasco your water-head Abiy initiated.

Horesh/Aberesh/DDT...you had the irrational miscalculations of 5 telalakee ethio regimes/govts (4 previous +1 current) to learn from but you are still clouded/indoctrinated by their keenya/yennya/nai-na mindset legacy which works against yourselves and your neighbors.  Hence why you quickly jumped on Abiy's boat 🚣‍♂️🛥...without fully considering what repercussions his childish approach would have on Ethiopians and Somali/Somaliland-ers relations...and now you are seeing the result of hostilities your Tota King 🐒 created single handedly...but  yet his minions are grasping for straws to find others to blame.
 



Anyways thank you Horesh on videos of Game Theory but in my view most eritreans understand and have applied these type of principles/rules for eons amongst each other/communities and even in optimistic out look to their neighbors.  In fact Eritreans have a saying/motto (day'natna ay'needlyen, natna ay'nehiben)...that we don't claim/take what is not ours, and we do not give what is ours in light of any force/coercion.  We even have songs going back to Haile Sellasaie era saying "i have this land/adi and that land/adi...therefore why would i need to claim the land of others amhara/ethiopia.  As usual, the TPLF/Tigray singers even tried to copy these songs but skipped the part that says "why should i claim lands of others amhara/ethiopia"...to the contrary TPLF claimed everybody's land in all four directions  😁 

Also more so than your lineage of 5 irrational ethio govts, Eritreans have always optimistically hoped that one day entire region would live in peace/harmony/respect/cooperation/trade/prosperity.  While you have been indoctrinated with Ethiopia teqedim, ene yeqedim...which is fine using your own resources/land.  However, when you eye the resources/land of your neighbors...that leads to your demise/fragmentation/downfall...much like opportunistic individuals in a family that seek to build only themselves up on the back/labor of the rest of the family without contributing to the whole.

So again, focus on you and Somaliland if you are the players and stop trying to make up excuses to blame/pull your other neighbors for the incompetent approach of your telalakee water-head Abiy...
stop with your Bemen Sebeb Letlash.








Horus wrote:
08 Feb 2024, 02:39

GAME THEORY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

This short introduction to Game Theory makes it clear that in today's HoA, the only 2 rational players are Somaliland Republic and Ethiopia.

Now consider each of the other players .....

Djibouti is trying to punish Ethiopian merchants by using Dominant player, rather than find a Nash Equilibrium ..... Duhhh

Somalia with no country of its own is trying to play Dominant player using the Sovereignty fiction rather than finding a Nash Equilibrium.

Eritrea is trying to stop Ethiopia from securing its sea access interest rather than advancing its own self-interest by marketing its idle ports (rather than seeking a Nash equilibrium)

Egypt another proverbial stupid entity tries to stop Ethiopia from securing its need for sea access rather than negotiate a Nash equilibrium on GERD game.

This is how stupidity and ignorance rules and ruins the Horn of Africa!

Horus wrote:
08 Feb 2024, 02:59
So, again listen to this with Abiy Ahmed's wars in mind?  የትግሬን ጦርነት በ2 ሳምንት እንጨርሳለን! የአማራን ጦርነት በ6 ሳምንት ፣ በ6 ወር !! ምን ያክል ደደቦች እንደ ሆኑ ያቢይ ጄኔራሎች ጉግል አድርገው ማንበብ የማይችሉ ናቸው

Abere wrote:
08 Feb 2024, 12:36
Horus,

I was expecting this generation would be a lot smarter than either the Derg era or the TPLF era in thinking outside of the box. Disappointingly, there is still too much stupidity among the youth generation. In stead of promoting economic integration, mutual respect, solidarity and prevent cyclical destructive wars, several disoriented souls are parroting about advancing colonial agenda. As we know colonial treaties, landmarks and legacies are anti-development and do not align with the future needs of the ever changing world. Colonial legacies are chains handcuffing the colonized countries themselves. For instance, what did Eritrea benefit from the last 33 years after Ethiopia gave her ports? Nothing, did not get any benefit. So, did Somalia. Nothing. Somalia rather became an Al Shaba land where Al Shabab aspires an Islamist terrorist country for all terrorists around the world.  :mrgreen:

Anything that defies logic sooner or later surely fails. These overdosed generation many of them paid trolls for the wrong agenda  do not listen to the reality. Sadly, many more millions will die in a useless war.

Horus wrote:
08 Feb 2024, 14:54
አበረ፣
የአፍሪካ ቀንድ ተገንጣይ ንኡስ ከበርቴ በብዙ ልዩ ልዩ የሳይኮሎጂ በሽታ ውስጥ እንዳለ ታውቃለህ ። የገለጽከው የቀጠናው ተገንጣዮች እና ጸረ ኢትዮጵያዎች ባህሪ ሁለት መሰረታዊ መነሾ አለው ። አንድ አላማ ቢስነት (purposelessness) ነው ። አንዳቸውም  ኢትዮጵያን ከመጥላት የዘለለ የራሳቸው ይህ ነው የሚባል ፋይዳ የላቸው ። ልክ እንዳልከው የሕልውናቸው አላማ አድርገው የያዙት ኢትዮጵያን ማፍረስ እንጂ ለራሳቸው የሚገነቡት ፋይዳ የላቸውም። ይህ አንዱ በሽታቸው ነው ።

ሁለተኛው ሳይክሎጂያዊ በሽታ ነው፤ እሱም ጀርመኖች Schadenfreude (ሻደንፍሮይደ) ይሉታል ። ይህ ያይምሮ በሽታ በሌሎች ሰዎች ውድቀት ደስታን የሚያገኙ፣ የሌሎች ችግርና መከራ የነሱ ደስታ ምንጭ የሚያደርጉ ያይምሮ ሕሙማን ናችው ። እኛ ቅናትና ምቀኘንት የምንለው በሌሎች ደስታ የሚቆጩና የሚያዝኑ ሰዎችን ነው ። እነዚህ ሻደንፍሮይደ የተባሉት በአማርኛ ወይም ግዕዝ ምን እንደ ሚባሉ አላውቀውም ። ከላይ የገለጽካቸው ሰዎች ናቸው ።  ችግራቸው ትክክለኛ ምርጫ የማደግና  ትክክለኛ ውሳኔ የመድረስ (ጌም ቲኦሪ) ብቻ አይደለም፤ የሻደንፍሮይደ በሽተኞች ናቸው ።

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