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Noble Amhara
Senior Member
Posts: 13715
Joined: 02 Feb 2020, 13:00
Location: Abysinnia

Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by Noble Amhara » 03 Sep 2023, 00:57

1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone, east gojam zone, west gojam zone... Most important zones are west gondar zone (qwara metemma), welkait zone (humera,dansha) , metekel zone (negus dawit amba), n shuwa zone, north wollo zone (alamata-bala)

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories

ZEMEN
Member
Posts: 2635
Joined: 27 Jun 2011, 14:37

Re: Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by ZEMEN » 03 Sep 2023, 01:10

Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 00:57
1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone for n.shuwa zone

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories
How do you think will end this one? I have bleak imagination. Amara was pushed and abused too far for too long. When one fights for survival, even the coward becomes a hero.

Noble Amhara
Senior Member
Posts: 13715
Joined: 02 Feb 2020, 13:00
Location: Abysinnia

Re: Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by Noble Amhara » 03 Sep 2023, 01:35

I say a stalemate

Abiy cannot win this war

He will eventually back off and go into negioations maybe in sudan with Fano Leaders
ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:10
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 00:57
1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone for n.shuwa zone

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories
How do you think will end this one? I have bleak imagination. Amara was pushed and abused too far for too long. When one fights for survival, even the coward becomes a hero.

ZEMEN
Member
Posts: 2635
Joined: 27 Jun 2011, 14:37

Re: Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by ZEMEN » 03 Sep 2023, 01:49

Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:35
I say a stalemate

Abiy cannot win this war

He will eventually back off
ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:10
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 00:57
1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone for n.shuwa zone

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories
How do you think will end this one? I have bleak imagination. Amara was pushed and abused too far for too long. When one fights for survival, even the coward becomes a hero.
I don't think so, Amara is in to win it. Just like what happening in Sudan, one must clearly win to end the problem, I feel the same way what is going in between Amara and the headless government.

Noble Amhara
Senior Member
Posts: 13715
Joined: 02 Feb 2020, 13:00
Location: Abysinnia

Re: Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by Noble Amhara » 03 Sep 2023, 01:52

How do we define "win"

in my opinion "win" is fano remaining in its peoples region.

ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:49
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:35
I say a stalemate

Abiy cannot win this war

He will eventually back off
ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:10
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 00:57
1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone for n.shuwa zone

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories
How do you think will end this one? I have bleak imagination. Amara was pushed and abused too far for too long. When one fights for survival, even the coward becomes a hero.
I don't think so, Amara is in to win it. Just like what happening in Sudan, one must clearly win to end the problem, I feel the same way what is going in between Amara and the headless government.

ZEMEN
Member
Posts: 2635
Joined: 27 Jun 2011, 14:37

Re: Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by ZEMEN » 03 Sep 2023, 02:00

Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:52
How do we define "win"

in my opinion "win" is fano remaining in its peoples region.

ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:49
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:35
I say a stalemate

Abiy cannot win this war

He will eventually back off
ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:10
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 00:57
1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone for n.shuwa zone

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories
How do you think will end this one? I have bleak imagination. Amara was pushed and abused too far for too long. When one fights for survival, even the coward becomes a hero.
I don't think so, Amara is in to win it. Just like what happening in Sudan, one must clearly win to end the problem, I feel the same way what is going in between Amara and the headless government.
Winning shall be defined as Amara winning the war, unset this stupid government and restore the greatness of Ethiopia. Tigre, came to power, to keep the interest of Tigrya, not Ethiopia. Oromo came to power, to keep the interest of Oromo, not Ethiopia. I do believe that Amara is ON to restore Ethiopian interest. And that is the definition of winning.

Sadacha Macca
Senior Member
Posts: 12808
Joined: 22 Feb 2014, 16:46

Re: Far spread conflict vs densely concentrated conflict

Post by Sadacha Macca » 03 Sep 2023, 05:00

ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 02:00
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:52
How do we define "win"

in my opinion "win" is fano remaining in its peoples region.

ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:49
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:35
I say a stalemate

Abiy cannot win this war

He will eventually back off
ZEMEN wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 01:10
Noble Amhara wrote:
03 Sep 2023, 00:57
1. Densely concentratred conflict

The success of the Tigrayan Resistance was in Tembien by combining all their forces in one Awraja totalling around 50,000-100,000 troops they were able to break the forces of PP capture much needed heavy weaponry and take around 10,000 ENDF as Pow such decimination led Abiy to call for a ceasefire as Abiy knew TDF had to much mechanized weapons to fight so the conflict was prolonged (June) up to December. TPLF would hire around 250,000 up to 500,000 fresh recruits as human waves to march towards Debresina

2. Far spread conflict

The success of the amhara resistance cannot be traced to a certain battle or location because the far spread out Fano are operating across the region. This makes Abiy ahmed unable to erase the group without diffuculty.

The success of Fano is not 4 kilo rather its Abysinnia.

Fano should re-locate its troops to reinforce certain victories outside the core of mehal amhara. Fano should launch resistance outside Amhara Region or along its bordwrs take advantage of geography and leave useless south gondar zone,south welo zone for n.shuwa zone

In that case fano beomes much more efficient in victories
How do you think will end this one? I have bleak imagination. Amara was pushed and abused too far for too long. When one fights for survival, even the coward becomes a hero.
I don't think so, Amara is in to win it. Just like what happening in Sudan, one must clearly win to end the problem, I feel the same way what is going in between Amara and the headless government.
Winning shall be defined as Amara winning the war, unset this stupid government and restore the greatness of Ethiopia. Tigre, came to power, to keep the interest of Tigrya, not Ethiopia. Oromo came to power, to keep the interest of Oromo, not Ethiopia. I do believe that Amara is ON to restore Ethiopian interest. And that is the definition of winning.

Can you tell me when Ethiopia was ever great? It's been a underdeveloped, aid dependent state since the time of menelik.
It's never been great for the masses, including For Amaras.
I'm sure it's been great for a small group of elites though, who lived large in finfinne/Addis.
Who's to say that the next government will be any better, fano will be seen as invaders outside of their region if they dont establish an understanding with the other nations.... not to mention that you cannot rule over the oromo and others as those before, you need to have a genuine alliance and understanding with the oromo and others to do that. Otherwise, even if abiy goes tomorrow, there'll just be new conflicts, even worse than What you see today.



BTW claiming that opdo is synonymous with oromo as a whole, is false and a lie. Look at their origins, a puppet party made by tplf with the help of shabia, to exploit the oromos resources and counteract the genuine oromo party. But we'll take them, the devils that we know, over the devils that we don't know.
We also know that our enemies do not differentiate, they hate all Oromo's and the oromo identity.

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