How soon the Simmering Conflict between Isaias and Abiy Ahmed will Explode?
a) In the next 1 - 2 months.
b) Within 6 months, most likely in this Summer.
c) Never ever.
d) Locked in "No War" and "No Peace" status.
e) Abiy Ahmed Regime will Fall Before He Faces off Isaias.
Re: How soon the Simmering Conflict between Isaias and Abiy Ahmed will Explode?
The result from this poll suggests, no clear opinion is formed at this point. Each choice of response received 25% except choice b(0%). What this means is there is high level of uncertainty about the issue - state of confusion and uncertainty, reflection of erratic political behavior from the young leader Abiy Ahmed from the Ethiopia side.
Re: How soon the Simmering Conflict between Isaias and Abiy Ahmed will Explode?
Abere wrote, "What this means is there is high level of uncertainty about the issue - state of confusion and uncertainty, reflection of erratic political behavior from the young leader Abiy Ahmed from the Ethiopia side".
ሳይንሱ ምን መሰለህ? ፖለቲካና ጦርነት አንድ ናቸው፤ የሚለያቸው መተግበሪያው ዘዴ ነው ። ፖለቲካ የቃላት፣ የሃሳብ ጦርነት ነው ። ጦርነት የመሳሪያ የብረት ፖለቲካ ነው ። ስለሆነም በፖለቲካው እርግጠኛ ያልሆነ ፣ ተለይቶ የተቆጠረ የፖለቲካ ኢኮኖሚ ሌላም ጥቅሞች አላማ የሌለው ሰው ጦርነት ሊያደርግ ከቶም አይችልም፣ ቢሞከርም ኪሳራ ነው። ይህ ነገር ባለፈው የትግሬ ጦርነት ታይቷል ። ስለዚህ አቢይ በኤርትራ ላይ የሚያስበው ጦርነት፣ አስቦ ከሆነ ፋይዳ ቢስ ሆያሆዬ ነው ። አይደረግም ።
ጦርነት መሪ የፖለቲካ አላማ ና ግብ ብቻ ሳይሆን ተግባሪ ሕዝብና ወታደር ይፈልጋል ። ዛሬ ከጂቡቲ አዲሳባ መስመር ማስከር ያልቻለ ሚሊታሪ፣ የላንጋኖ መስመር ማስከበር ያልቻለ ሚሊታሪ ወጥ ከሆነ የኤርትራ ጦር ገጠመ ማለት እብደት ነው ። የማይታሰብ ነው ። አንድ ዘመዴ አዲሳባ ለፋሲካ ሄዶ ላንጋኖ ሃይቅ ለማየት ካዲሳባ በዝዋይና አዳሚ ቱሉ ባጭር ግዜ የሚያደርሰ መንገድ ሸኔ ስለ ዘጋው ባይሮፕላን አዋሳ ሄዶ ከሲዳማ በሻሸምኔ በኩል ወደ ሰሜን በመንዳት ላንጋኖ ደርሶ አዝኖ ተመለሰ ።
በኢትዮጵያ መንግስት የሚባል የለም ። ወረምያ የሚባል ቦታ አይደለም ቱሪስት ወፍ ዝር አይልም አለኝ ። መንግስት ፈርሷል! እናሳ ይህን መንግስት ነው ኤርትራን የሚወጋ? ተረት ነው!
ሳይንሱ ምን መሰለህ? ፖለቲካና ጦርነት አንድ ናቸው፤ የሚለያቸው መተግበሪያው ዘዴ ነው ። ፖለቲካ የቃላት፣ የሃሳብ ጦርነት ነው ። ጦርነት የመሳሪያ የብረት ፖለቲካ ነው ። ስለሆነም በፖለቲካው እርግጠኛ ያልሆነ ፣ ተለይቶ የተቆጠረ የፖለቲካ ኢኮኖሚ ሌላም ጥቅሞች አላማ የሌለው ሰው ጦርነት ሊያደርግ ከቶም አይችልም፣ ቢሞከርም ኪሳራ ነው። ይህ ነገር ባለፈው የትግሬ ጦርነት ታይቷል ። ስለዚህ አቢይ በኤርትራ ላይ የሚያስበው ጦርነት፣ አስቦ ከሆነ ፋይዳ ቢስ ሆያሆዬ ነው ። አይደረግም ።
ጦርነት መሪ የፖለቲካ አላማ ና ግብ ብቻ ሳይሆን ተግባሪ ሕዝብና ወታደር ይፈልጋል ። ዛሬ ከጂቡቲ አዲሳባ መስመር ማስከር ያልቻለ ሚሊታሪ፣ የላንጋኖ መስመር ማስከበር ያልቻለ ሚሊታሪ ወጥ ከሆነ የኤርትራ ጦር ገጠመ ማለት እብደት ነው ። የማይታሰብ ነው ። አንድ ዘመዴ አዲሳባ ለፋሲካ ሄዶ ላንጋኖ ሃይቅ ለማየት ካዲሳባ በዝዋይና አዳሚ ቱሉ ባጭር ግዜ የሚያደርሰ መንገድ ሸኔ ስለ ዘጋው ባይሮፕላን አዋሳ ሄዶ ከሲዳማ በሻሸምኔ በኩል ወደ ሰሜን በመንዳት ላንጋኖ ደርሶ አዝኖ ተመለሰ ።
በኢትዮጵያ መንግስት የሚባል የለም ። ወረምያ የሚባል ቦታ አይደለም ቱሪስት ወፍ ዝር አይልም አለኝ ። መንግስት ፈርሷል! እናሳ ይህን መንግስት ነው ኤርትራን የሚወጋ? ተረት ነው!
Re: How soon the Simmering Conflict between Isaias and Abiy Ahmed will Explode?
የሰጠኸው የመደምደሚያ አስተያየት ትክክል ነው - እኔ እጋራዋለሁ። በአገሪቱ መንግስት ፈርሷል ፤ መንግስት የለም። ዐብይ አህመድ በአፉ ብዙ እርቀት ይሂዳል እንጅ ወገቡ ተቆርጧል። እኔ በታሪክ ድፍን 5 አመት እንድሁ በዋል ፈሰስ እና በሁከት የፈጀ ቢኖር ዐብይ አህመድ ነው። ማፈሪያ።
Horus wrote: ↑10 May 2023, 13:34Abere wrote, "What this means is there is high level of uncertainty about the issue - state of confusion and uncertainty, reflection of erratic political behavior from the young leader Abiy Ahmed from the Ethiopia side".
ሳይንሱ ምን መሰለህ? ፖለቲካና ጦርነት አንድ ናቸው፤ የሚለያቸው መተግበሪያው ዘዴ ነው ። ፖለቲካ የቃላት፣ የሃሳብ ጦርነት ነው ። ጦርነት የመሳሪያ የብረት ፖለቲካ ነው ። ስለሆነም በፖለቲካው እርግጠኛ ያልሆነ ፣ ተለይቶ የተቆጠረ የፖለቲካ ኢኮኖሚ ሌላም ጥቅሞች አላማ የሌለው ሰው ጦርነት ሊያደርግ ከቶም አይችልም፣ ቢሞከርም ኪሳራ ነው። ይህ ነገር ባለፈው የትግሬ ጦርነት ታይቷል ። ስለዚህ አቢይ በኤርትራ ላይ የሚያስበው ጦርነት፣ አስቦ ከሆነ ፋይዳ ቢስ ሆያሆዬ ነው ። አይደረግም ።
ጦርነት መሪ የፖለቲካ አላማ ና ግብ ብቻ ሳይሆን ተግባሪ ሕዝብና ወታደር ይፈልጋል ። ዛሬ ከጂቡቲ አዲሳባ መስመር ማስከር ያልቻለ ሚሊታሪ፣ የላንጋኖ መስመር ማስከበር ያልቻለ ሚሊታሪ ወጥ ከሆነ የኤርትራ ጦር ገጠመ ማለት እብደት ነው ። የማይታሰብ ነው ። አንድ ዘመዴ አዲሳባ ለፋሲካ ሄዶ ላንጋኖ ሃይቅ ለማየት ካዲሳባ በዝዋይና አዳሚ ቱሉ ባጭር ግዜ የሚያደርሰ መንገድ ሸኔ ስለ ዘጋው ባይሮፕላን አዋሳ ሄዶ ከሲዳማ በሻሸምኔ በኩል ወደ ሰሜን በመንዳት ላንጋኖ ደርሶ አዝኖ ተመለሰ ።
በኢትዮጵያ መንግስት የሚባል የለም ። ወረምያ የሚባል ቦታ አይደለም ቱሪስት ወፍ ዝር አይልም አለኝ ። መንግስት ፈርሷል! እናሳ ይህን መንግስት ነው ኤርትራን የሚወጋ? ተረት ነው!
Re: How soon the Simmering Conflict between Isaias and Abiy Ahmed will Explode?
There won't be any war between Eritrea and Ethiopia for three reasons.
1. You may presume Abiy could be pushed by the US to provoke Eritrea into a full blown war. But what would the excuse be for that war?
And would the Eritrean government be fooled into entering a vicious cycle of war and destruction? You may argue that if war is imposed on Eritrea,
it will have no option but defend itself. But the perpetrator will have to think twice before it causes irreversible damage to itself.
BTW, in case we have forgotten the year, we are in 2023 and not in 1998.
2. Abiy has formally and officially accepted the Algiers agreement and vowed to implement it without any precondition. He should lose
his mind to renegade on that and follow the steps Ayte Meles took in 1998. Eritrean forces are within their territory and no power on earth has any
right to tell Eritrea to withdraw from its own territory.
3. Majority Ethiopians wouldn't support any force that may attack Eritrea. It was only 2/3 years ago that Eritrea managed to rescue Ethiopia from
disintegration. If Weyane were not to be stopped from plundering Ethiopia in Nov 2020, it would be anyone's guess what we could be dealing right
now.
1. You may presume Abiy could be pushed by the US to provoke Eritrea into a full blown war. But what would the excuse be for that war?
And would the Eritrean government be fooled into entering a vicious cycle of war and destruction? You may argue that if war is imposed on Eritrea,
it will have no option but defend itself. But the perpetrator will have to think twice before it causes irreversible damage to itself.
BTW, in case we have forgotten the year, we are in 2023 and not in 1998.
2. Abiy has formally and officially accepted the Algiers agreement and vowed to implement it without any precondition. He should lose
his mind to renegade on that and follow the steps Ayte Meles took in 1998. Eritrean forces are within their territory and no power on earth has any
right to tell Eritrea to withdraw from its own territory.
3. Majority Ethiopians wouldn't support any force that may attack Eritrea. It was only 2/3 years ago that Eritrea managed to rescue Ethiopia from
disintegration. If Weyane were not to be stopped from plundering Ethiopia in Nov 2020, it would be anyone's guess what we could be dealing right
now.
Re: How soon the Simmering Conflict between Isaias and Abiy Ahmed will Explode?
I wish there would be no war anymore between Eritrea and OLF/TPLF controlled Ethiopia. However, relations between Abiy Ahmed and Eritrea does not seem flying well. He is desperate as he lost popular acceptance in the country. You know what desperate leaders do. Also, it takes a simple mistake to trigger war. TPLF can easily scratch the match to lit it up.
Asmara wrote: ↑10 May 2023, 17:21There won't be any war between Eritrea and Ethiopia for three reasons.
1. You may presume Abiy could be pushed by the US to provoke Eritrea into a full blown war. But what would the excuse be for that war?
And would the Eritrean government be fooled into entering a vicious cycle of war and destruction? You may argue that if war is imposed on Eritrea,
it will have no option but defend itself. But the perpetrator will have to think twice before it causes irreversible damage to itself.
BTW, in case we have forgotten the year, we are in 2023 and not in 1998.
2. Abiy has formally and officially accepted the Algiers agreement and vowed to implement it without any precondition. He should lose
his mind to renegade on that and follow the steps Ayte Meles took in 1998. Eritrean forces are within their territory and no power on earth has any
right to tell Eritrea to withdraw from its own territory.
3. Majority Ethiopians wouldn't support any force that may attack Eritrea. It was only 2/3 years ago that Eritrea managed to rescue Ethiopia from
disintegration. If Weyane were not to be stopped from plundering Ethiopia in Nov 2020, it would be anyone's guess what we could be dealing right
now.