ማጥ ውስጥ ያለው ዐብይ አህመድን ምን ትመክሩታላችሁ? ከወያኔ ጋር ድርድር ፍሬ ዐልባ መሆኑ ግልጽ ነው፡ 1) ከፋኖ ጋር መታረቅ? 2) ስልጣን በቃኝ? 3) አንጋጦ ዕድሉን ማየት?
I think by now even for the most die-hard Abiy Ahmed supporters is clear that he lost the victory and mass support only because of himself. It is hard for a leader as populous as Ethiopia to make frequent mistakes. Leadership is more than playing a game it is also principle and honesty. He lost the trust he got across the land. More importantly, the innocent Amhara farmers gave their lives marched to the battle front with hunting guns, sticks, stones and axes faced off the missile armed Tigre rag tag rebel. They proved a 1000 times they would die for him if stays patriotic and loyal to Ethiopia. Sadly, he become an infidel wanting to lie in bed with the Tigre rag tag TPLF. Since the rumors he had been wanting this infidelity very badly almost millions of Ethiopians spat on him and tossed him into the garbage can. Loss of integrity is irrecoverable. Can he? His recent rants on public TV already forced millions to believe he is suffering mental illness or suspected him of bipolar. There are enough factors that might fall into such sickness. May be he suffered from clash of his own wrong choices and actions, repeated lies. Leaked information are indicating he is being taken care of by Pente pastors. It is obvious they can not be any help. Anyone who watched Nebiyu Chufa scam can definitely say the illness will get worse.
Certainly, any negotiation with TPLF will not result anything, because the conflict is not Abiy Ahmed and TPLF. It is more importantly with the greater Ethiopia and more specifically with Amhara, also Afar, Eritrea too. There is no immediate short cut to threat his mental sickness. Is there any room even for him to beg a little bit of room for trus? I am not sure? That is why I advice people to keep any promise they entered into - once made it is sacred. You keep it. You may fool one time, but can't fool all the time.
Re: ማጥ ውስጥ ያለው ዐብይ አህመድን ምን ትመክሩታላችሁ? ከወያኔ ጋር ድርድር ፍሬ ዐልባ መሆኑ ግልጽ ነው፡ 1) ከፋኖ ጋር መታረቅ? 2) ስልጣን በቃኝ? 3) አንጋጦ ዕድሉን ማየት?
Abere Fano is already dismantled and you need at least one year to reorganize it and that can only happen , if Fanos like Zemene Kassie free themselves from Isaias.
The immediate priority for Abiy to save his power is to negotiate with TPLF and OLA. If he fails to timely negotiate , OLA is already around Chancho ( 50 km from Addis Ababa) and once TPLF/OLA/ Other federalist forces start marching to Addis Ababa, Abiy will not have any option but to run for his life. Do not expect TPLF will try to come to Addis Ababa via Amhara or Afar. Definitely TPLF will cut the Gondar to Humera route and will also control strategic areas in Eritrea to free West Tigray. It is also possible for Kimant forces to take-over Gondar to reclaim their ancestors land similar to what Oromos are doing to Addis Ababa.
The immediate priority for Abiy to save his power is to negotiate with TPLF and OLA. If he fails to timely negotiate , OLA is already around Chancho ( 50 km from Addis Ababa) and once TPLF/OLA/ Other federalist forces start marching to Addis Ababa, Abiy will not have any option but to run for his life. Do not expect TPLF will try to come to Addis Ababa via Amhara or Afar. Definitely TPLF will cut the Gondar to Humera route and will also control strategic areas in Eritrea to free West Tigray. It is also possible for Kimant forces to take-over Gondar to reclaim their ancestors land similar to what Oromos are doing to Addis Ababa.