Ethiopia cannot afford further destabilisation
Josep Borrell Fontelles
High Representative of the EU for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy/Vice-President of
Amhara is a boogyman to People Who suffers from inferior complex.gearhead wrote: ↑21 Aug 2021, 10:41Ethiopia and the amhara agenda cant be anything else but a regional destabilizing force! Destabilization is in its birth defect. Amhara agenda and destabilization are synonymous and causes for the chaos in Eritrea, Somalia and Sudan! The 30 years of relative regional peace went into the dust bin the minute they hijacked the house galla into their agenda ala abiy ahmed!
A new regional approach is needs the backing of the global order as proposed here on ER.viewtopic.php?f=2&t=270458
Deqi-Arawit wrote: ↑21 Aug 2021, 10:54Amhara is a boogyman to People Who suffers from inferior complex.gearhead wrote: ↑21 Aug 2021, 10:41Ethiopia and the amhara agenda cant be anything else but a regional destabilizing force! Destabilization is in its birth defect. Amhara agenda and destabilization are synonymous and causes for the chaos in Eritrea, Somalia and Sudan! The 30 years of relative regional peace went into the dust bin the minute they hijacked the house galla into their agenda ala abiy ahmed!
A new regional approach is needs the backing of the global order as proposed here on ER.viewtopic.php?f=2&t=270458
https://warontherocks.com/2015/10/yes-s ... -problems/YES, SOMETIMES THERE ARE MILITARY SOLUTIONS TO POLITICAL PROBLEMS
[....]
Today we occasionally hear similar logic that there is no military solution to a crisis (for example, against the self-proclaimed Islamic State) because it won’t resolve underlying sectarian grievances and political problems. This logic can be at least partially accurate. Are there complex political problems in many recent internal conflicts, such as those in Syria, Iraq, Libya, or elsewhere? Absolutely. Does this mean Western military intervention would be self-defeating? Oftentimes yes, but not necessarily in every case.
Practically every conflict — whether internal or interstate — has underlying political issues that helped spark the violence. After all, war is “merely the continuation of policy by other means,” as the Prussian sage [i.e. Carl von Clausewitz] observed. Such a political problem (or often, a convergence of problems) may involve disputes over borders, resources, treatment of ethnic groups, disparities in wealth or status, national policies, desires for greater autonomy, dreams of independence, or many other issues.
To be sure, calling attention to these underlying issues is a useful reminder about their salience to a conflict and is undoubtedly worth frequent re-emphasis so as not to lose sight of them. However this alone does not tell us if military force would be appropriate. That should derive from an assessment of whether military force can (or should) contribute to the desired political end state, as part of a broad strategy of tools — economic, diplomatic, military, and beyond. [....]
sarcasm wrote: ↑21 Aug 2021, 09:27There is no military solution to what is happening in #Tigray. Saving lives and prevent further suffering should be the priority for all.
Ethiopia cannot afford further destabilisation
Josep Borrell Fontelles
High Representative of the EU for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy/Vice-President of
TPLF does not control the whole of Tigray at the moment. It controls the Central and East Tigray only. Amhara region has illegally incorporated Western Tigray in violation of the Ethiopian Constitution. It has displaced the residents of Western Tigray and taken their farming lands. The residents are currently staying in 153 schools in Central Tigray. Therefore, TDF is fighting to ensure the respect of Tigray's territorial integrity as per Ethiopian Constitution; and to return the displaced residents of Western Tigray to their homes once it has secured the territories.YAY wrote: ↑23 Aug 2021, 00:54
What is happening in Tigraiy? I gather that now TPLF controls Tigraiy (i.e. the alleged "invading forces" as TPLF calls them, are out of Tigraiy). TPLF did not declare a ceasefire and did not focus at solving alleged problems in Tigraiy while Etiyopiya's Federal Government had declared a unilateral ceasefire and was withdrawing its forces from the Tigraiy Region.
TPLF is not trying to overthrow the Ethiopian government. It is fighting to regain the territories annexed by Amhara region and to pressure the federal government into negotiation table and end the blockade on Tigray. When the federal government agrees to resolve the problem by negotiations, the war will end basically.YAY wrote: ↑23 Aug 2021, 00:54
I agree with Brendan Gallagher's argument because it is reasonable. I also think that, for the long-term, it would be the best policy for Etiyopiya to ultimately aim to seek peaceful political solutions (legal, electoral, referendum, dialogue or compromises on constitutionally vague issues, etc.) to solve the political problems regarding Tigraiy, and allow all citizens to cooperate and grow together in peace. I firmly believe that such peaceful political solutions could not be achieved when the TPLF leadership is trying to overthrow the Etiyopiyan Federal State through military violence.
https://www.ilo.org/dyn/natlex/docs/ELE ... H70993.pdfCHAPTER I: CRIMES AGAINST THE NATIONAL STATE
Section I.- Crimes against The Constitutional Order and the Internal Security of the State
Sub-section I. - Crimes Against the Constitution or the State
Article 238.- Outrages against the Constitution or the Constitutional Order.
(1) Whoever, intentionally, by violence, threats, conspiracy or any other unlawful means:
(a) overthrows, modifies or suspends the Federal or State Constitution; or
(b) overthrows or changes the order established by the Federal or State Constitution,is punishable with rigorous imprisonment from three years to twenty-five years.
(2) Where the crime has entailed serious crises against public security or life, the punishment shall be life imprisonment or
death.
Article 239.- Obstruction of the exercise of Constitutional Powers.
Whoever, by violence, threats or any other unlawful means, restrains or prevents any official or body constituted by the
Federal or State Constitution from exercising their powers or forces them to give a decision, is punishable with rigorous
imprisonment not exceeding fifteen years.
Article 240.- Armed Rising or Civil War.
(1) Whoever intentionally:
(a) organizes or leads a revolt, mutiny or armed rebellion against any official or body constituted by a Constitution;
or
(b) raises civil war, by arming citizens or inhabitants or by inciting them to take up arms against one another,
is punishable with rigorous imprisonment from ten years to twenty-five years.
(2) Where the crime has entailed serious crises against public security or life, the punishment shall be life imprisonment or
death.
(3) Whoever of his own free will takes part in the movement mentioned in sub-article (1) of this Article is punishable with rigorous imprisonment from seven years to twenty years.
(4) Where it is proved that the organizer or participant has caused injury to life, liberty, person, health or property or has committed another crime, he shall in addition be liable under the relevant provision of the law.
Article 241.- Attack on the Political or Territorial Integrity of the State.
Whoever, by violence or any other unconstitutional means, directly or indirectly, commits an act designed to destroy the unity of the peoples, or to destroy the Federation, or to sever part of the territory or population from the Federation or the State, is punishable with rigorous imprisonment from ten years to twenty-five years, or, in cases of exceptional gravity, life imprisonment or death.
sarcasm wrote: ↑23 Aug 2021, 21:19TPLF does not control the whole of Tigray at the moment. It controls the Central and East Tigray only. Amhara region has illegally incorporated Western Tigray in violation of the Ethiopian Constitution. It has displaced the residents of Western Tigray and taken their farming lands. The residents are currently staying in 153 schools in Central Tigray. Therefore, TDF is fighting to ensure the respect of Tigray's territorial integrity as per Ethiopian Constitution; and to return the displaced residents of Western Tigray to their homes once it has secured the territories.YAY wrote: ↑23 Aug 2021, 00:54
What is happening in Tigraiy? I gather that now TPLF controls Tigraiy (i.e. the alleged "invading forces" as TPLF calls them, are out of Tigraiy). TPLF did not declare a ceasefire and did not focus at solving alleged problems in Tigraiy while Etiyopiya's Federal Government had declared a unilateral ceasefire and was withdrawing its forces from the Tigraiy Region.
TPLF is not trying to overthrow the Ethiopian government. It is fighting to regain the territories annexed by Amhara region and to pressure the federal government into negotiation table and end the blockade on Tigray. When the federal government agrees to resolve the problem by negotiations, the war will end basically.YAY wrote: ↑23 Aug 2021, 00:54
I agree with Brendan Gallagher's argument because it is reasonable. I also think that, for the long-term, it would be the best policy for Etiyopiya to ultimately aim to seek peaceful political solutions (legal, electoral, referendum, dialogue or compromises on constitutionally vague issues, etc.) to solve the political problems regarding Tigraiy, and allow all citizens to cooperate and grow together in peace. I firmly believe that such peaceful political solutions could not be achieved when the TPLF leadership is trying to overthrow the Etiyopiyan Federal State through military violence.
When many people say this problem can not be resolved by war, they mean that both parties have reached stalemate and there cannot be a winner. If negotiation had started lets say in April, they would have come to an agreement by now. Imagine the lives wasted over the past four month!