Mereja.Forum

[Hawdian]

I have been correct in every event that I said will happen. It's not based on prediction or some crazy prophecy just understanding of Ethiopian politics.

After Tigray is sorted, Amhara is going get major shake up.

Wait and you will remember this post.

We don't know if that's in months or year time.

It depends on several issues
- how quick Tigray is sorted and brought inline with New Ethiopia


Major event used to unleash Amhara karbaash might be the elections, Wolkait, Humera or Rayya.

Now Tigrays will be on the Gov side.

Wait for it...

[Noble Amhara]

Kkkk there isn’t one Amhara opposition to Abiy Ahmed he will simply send his troops back into the mess in oromia. Amhara forces are to stay in Raya Wolkait Humera with Amhara people. The northern feud is over bxtches OLF will cry next the agames will rebel and will keep mocking and destroying Abiys image so he will still remain angered

[Abaymado]

I have been correct in every event that I said will happen. It's not based on prediction or some crazy prophecy just understanding of Ethiopian politics.

I don't know what you are talking about.

After Tigray is sorted, Amhara is going get major shake up.

Wait and you will remember this post.

We don't know if that's in months or year time.

It depends on several issues
- how quick Tigray is sorted and brought inline with New Ethiopia

Is Tigray sorted ? Still they are not conceding defeat.

Major event used to unleash Amhara karbaash might be the elections, Wolkait, Humera or Rayya.

election? probably the the winner in Amara's election could be both ABN and ANDM or ABN will win predominantly. so I don't think election will be an issue.

The welqait , humera or raya issue ? how? in my opinion in Raya, the majority people are amara and it is already the problem sorted out. in Welqait and humera , I have no clear information ; we will see.
Remember that this is just the worst case. In Best scenario, welqait , humera and raya will be under amara's administration, or it will have its own administration region separated from AMara and Tigray.

Now Tigrays will be on the Gov side.
Is it?
Wait for it...

In summary, the biggest problem is that federation has a chance to be dissolved and new Ethiopia's map will come in action. Other than that I think that the freed areas will be under Amara's administration.


I just forgot one thing: what about if Welqait and Raya ask to be killil like Sidama? It has high probability.

[Guest1]

ወደ ጦርነት ገፋፍቶ በህዝብና በአገር ከባድ ጥፋት ያደረሰ
ትግሬና አማራን ደም እንዲቀባባ ያደረገ
የአማራ ልዩ ሃይልን አሰልፎ በጦርነቱ አማራን ያስጨረሰ
የትግራይ ልዩ ሃይል በቦምብ የፈነዳዳ
ማይከዳን ለጭፍጨፋ የዳረገ
ለወልቃይትና ለራያ ሌላ ጦርነት የደገሰ
ኦሮሚያ ክልልን እየበጠበጠ ያለ

ማነው?

የኢትዮጵያ ህዝባዊ ዲሞክራሲያው ግንባር ክክክክክክክክክክክክክክክክ

[Hawdian]

Wait for it. I will refresh this post in few months.

[Abdisa]

Nonsense! Tigray is not crying. In fact Tigray has finally breathed a sigh of relief and happiness. The Amhara region has also reclaimed its lost territories. In the absence of the junta, the rule of law and a system of majority rule democracy will reign supreme in Ethiopia.

[Guest1]

Abdissa
In the absence of the junta, the rule of law and a system of majority rule democracy will reign supreme in Ethiopia.

These undefinable words, majority and minority are misleading, frankly misused and abused. Change rule by vote, thus majority vote and minority vote. In democracy, parties with majority vote will govern period. And not only that minority votes will be protected.

What will come to an end and must come to an end is this misleading and oppressive majority and majority rule debate.

[Qurunde]

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[Za-Ilmaknun]

I have been correct in every event that I said will happen. It's not based on prediction or some crazy prophecy just understanding of Ethiopian politics.

After Tigray is sorted, Amhara is going get major shake up.

Wait and you will remember this post.

We don't know if that's in months or year time.

It depends on several issues
- how quick Tigray is sorted and brought inline with New Ethiopia


Major event used to unleash Amhara karbaash might be the elections, Wolkait, Humera or Rayya.

Now Tigrays will be on the Gov side.

Wait for it...

Amharas have been at the receiving end for the past 47 years and may be counting. I am not sure what more can anyone do than what has already been done on to the Amharas. One would beg to ask the reason why? though. Most probably their sin is the "Ethiopia First" motto and defending the country from invaders and inbreed cannibals.

Do not stretch your luck to the undesired end. Everything Amhara have been in the robbing streak for many many years. What has not been able is to break the spirit and the resolve. Time will be our witness if any further trial could come out to the same outcome that you might have gleefully projected.

One thing I give you though, is the political leadership and the people that they assume to be leading perhaps are yet to sync. One wonders why OLF boys still are anathema to PM Abiy's leadership and trying to resurrect their mortal abuser ..the TPLF.

[Misraq]

It all depends on Abiy really. His motives are really hard to gauge and assess. As of now, he is on a pendulum of Grand Ethiopia vs Oromuma. One month die hard Ethiopian another month Oromuma.

My take on this is he would like to continue by having a balance to suit his stay on power as long as it takes him. But one thing for sure is that he will eradicate ember tegadalay singers and dancers. His bitterness on them is something though hard to notice it

[Abere]

As a result of TPLF's bitter attack and genocide that the Amhara people experienced uniquely in Ethiopia, significant consciousness has been created among all Amhara people. Amhara will remain a substantially significant factor (as it always has been) in shaping and engineering the political landscape of Ethiopia. The only prime reason TPLF' miserably failed and suffered from incompetent maldadmistarion through out its 27 years was because of unwanted enmity it created with the Amhara people. Amhara has been the worst nightmare of TPLF all the time. Had TPLF worked with Amhara without alienating them it would earned great political legacy. Anyone alienating Amhara will suffer in its entire political leadership. Any move without Amhara is a defeat. If Abiy alienates Amhara and betray their sacrifice and start singing the same old nasty lyric of TPLF and OLF made against Amhara people and their interest he will not last ONE year. The moral principle and political rationale Amhara people have been asking for is almost conventional and acceptable by most stable and sovereign countries of the world. Anything short of that is a recipe for disaster. Amhara people's case is a wining case. Those saboteurs of you winking to Abiy Ahmed to trick Amhara people are betting on your future. I was unhappy when Abiy Ahmed was timid not talking about the sacrifice of Amhara Fano while he was beating around the bush appreciating other elements. That was wrong. He should apologize them, because Amhara Fanos are not salaried employed Army but they volunteered on their own at their on expenses to sacrifice their precious life for the cause of the country in general. The betrayal Abiy Ahmed showed to Amhara Fano is a pure dirty political correctness. He should be corrected. Some of his open acts are totally absurd stupidity: when he arrested genocidal thug Jawar Muhammed he arrested a pure man Eskindir Nega; when the Amhara Fano liberated his encircled captive defense army by breaking TPLF's trench he showed betrayal to them - typical old TPLF style game.

[Aurorae Borealis]

Wuryaa is right to some degree. Misraq is far more realistic. I beliebe the amharas will change the Unionist mantra and champion independence at some time in the future. Abiy most likely will be dictatorial for he saw Badme and took a chance on it. He will be a savy dictator.

[Hawdian]

Misraq is very wise. He knows the potential outcome once TPLF is put to rest.

Amhara and Abiy will clash soon or later. It's no brainer.

- there's Amhara militias
- Amhara fanatics who hold equally as dangerous views as TPLF
- election major contest
- Humera, Wolkait, Alamata future hangs in a rope, Abiy might bring it under Dr Mulu.
- Berhane Jula is no fan of Amhara esp Wollo is major task for him. Now he is the top Chief of staff and General of the land.

After TPLF, Abiy needs to release Lemma Megersa and I believe he will.

Mulu and new Tigray elites/party will become Abiy ally and that will counter Amhara meaning he could reverse the cause and now allow new Liyu Tigray to remain Wolkait Humera Alamata