Mereja.Forum

The terms orbital forcing, ocean tides, cyclones, hurricanes, and atmospheric rivers describe complex phenomena to try to explain in a small note. Signals of orbital forcing that are evident in ocean tide levels can be used as proxies to gain an understanding of these complex phenomena. A simple obs...

A simple expression that describes Atmospheric Rivers is rivers in the sky. Technically, an Atmospheric River means vast amounts of moisture moving in the atmosphere from the tropics region to the Pacific Northwest region of the United States. When it precipitates, it causes a lot of flooding. The r...

A perfunctory note that was published in a peer reviewed journal paper was a suggestion that lunar cycle and menstrual cycle appear to be analogous. I haven’t done any research into this area except noting it and calling for a potential research about it in the future. I noted it in the course of at...

The 30th U.N. Conference on climate change is currently taking place in Belém, Brazil. Its first conference was also held in Brazil in 1992. Attributing climate change to natural variability and man made greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere is a very complex research exercise. It may also be a...

A report by climate scientists on climate change that was released yesterday criticized a previously released U.S. government report about the same subject matter as “science-y.” Below is a link to the report. Climate Experts’ Review of the DOE Climate Working Group Report This is the kind of differ...

I recently shared news reports that Hurricane Erin intensified at a historic rate in the Atlantic Ocean. In another news report, Typhoon Kajiki is causing heavy flooding in parts of Asia. Except for their geographical differences, hurricanes and typhoons are similar cyclone events. So, the latest hu...

News reports that Hurricane Erin intensified at a historic rate in the Atlantic Ocean. It makes you wonder if its rapid intensification is due to climate crisis or orbital forcing. I know of no research so far that associates orbital forcing with hurricane events. However, I think that it could be q...

One of the obvious signs of the climate crisis is the rise in ocean temperatures. The oceans directly receive and store heat energy, which means oceanic ecosystem is affected by it. This becomes evident by the detrimental effects of the rise in ocean temperatures on coral reefs. A recent CNN news ab...

Selam/: I just saw and read your question. Sorry for my belated response. Unfortunately, historical hydrological data is not as much as we wish to have for research purposes. My effort in search of it shows the U.S. has the longest data at only limited locations. A while back, I tried to get rainfal...

The tragedy from the recent extreme flooding in Texas is surreal. A drought condition in Texas back in 2011 was so extreme that the State’s Governor at the time went public about praying for rain. At that time, I was studying the predictability of meteorological variability using orbital forcing of ...

Even though hurricanes and tornadoes are naturally occurring events, climate scientists suggest that these events are pronounced due to the climate crisis. Naturally, the intensities of these events stand out. This suggests that signals of natural variability may be strong in these events. Fortunate...

The acronyms NOAA and NWS are for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Weather Service of the U.S., respectively. Laudato Si’ is an elaborate Encyclical released in June 2015 by the late Pope Francis to deal with the climate crisis. Both NOAA and NWS have been reputab...

In a recent post in this forum, I explained how I was able to realize during an eclipse event an apparent line in space between the Moon, the Earth, and sun. That realization was the beginning. The next realization was that similar eclipse events occur every Saros cycle, which is a period of 18 year...

It is a common knowledge that orbital forcing keeps the Earth orbit the Sun and the Moon orbit the Earth, in tandem and continuously. This is part of our universe’s marvel. In simple words, Atmospheric River is like a river in the sky. It is a narrow band of moisture moving in the atmosphere with wa...

Studying the difference between climate and climate change is a complex field of research. A methodological approach to easily understand the difference is remembering that climate has an envelope of natural variability whereas climate change introduces anomalies in this envelope. On a long term ave...

Interested researchers may also find a recent post about in phase and out of phase studies to understand the climate crisis informative.

Orbital Forcing as a Natural Variable in Climate Science

In this post, I have added a link to the preliminary study about recoded major earthquakes.

A major earthquake occurred off the coast of Japan yesterday. Newton’s universal law of gravitation formulated orbital forcing using the masses of celestial bodies and the distance between them. It would be intuitive to imagine that tide level fluctuations, which get higher during full moon phase, s...

Many people talk about the climate crisis to explain tragic events. Even though attributing the climate crisis to natural variability and human effect due to higher greenhouse emissions is a complex research, there are simple intuitions. Cyclic moon phases and associated tide levels happen naturally...

Even though the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) of the United States was established in 1970, the idea of greenhouse gases affecting Earth’s energy balance was first suggested by Joseph Fourier in the early 19th century. Modeling of climate change attempts to use Earth’s energy balance in orde...

Seeing in the news a lake in the Sahara desert after recent rains there makes you wonder if this occurred due to natural variability in climate or man made climate crisis. Watching news about hurricanes Helene and Milton also makes you wonder whether they are caused mainly by natural variability or ...